45 bd · 30.0 ba ·
6,191 sqft ·
Built 1975
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 117 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,919/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,041
Tax + insurance
−$1,143
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,293
Net cashflow
$4,442/mo
Annual
$53,305/yr
Cap rate
15.48%
Cash-on-cash
32.83%
DSCR
2.46
1% rule
1.88%
Cash to close
$162,372
Investor read
This is a 5 × 9-bed/6.0-bath units multifamily listed at $580k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($53k/yr) — positive. Per door: $888/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $580k).
It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($528k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $528k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#60 in NY, #894 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, housing A+.
Glens Falls City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #416 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Glens Falls Senior High School (math 98% / reading 64%, grade A, #485 of 1,100 statewide, top 45%, 601 students, 41% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 81% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Glens Falls City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Warren County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $480k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $162k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 4.8% in Glens Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $10,919/mo this rent would consume 194% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 866% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GGA035F8B8KS5K
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29