4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,503 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,786/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$453
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$375
Net cashflow
$251/mo
Annual
$3,007/yr
Cap rate
8.52%
Cash-on-cash
7.96%
DSCR
1.35
1% rule
1.32%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#23 in TX, #1,375 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+.
El Paso ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #591 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Dr Joseph Torres El (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 604 students, 85% FRL); Charles Middle (math 25% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,077 of 1,662 statewide, top 66%, 450 students, 84% FRL); Andress H S (math 19% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,228 of 1,632 statewide, top 76%, 1,530 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 65% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 241 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,196 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (143 in 5+ unit buildings).
El Paso County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $54k; list at $135k implies a 152% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GGXKST6ZVVR02G
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29