3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,659 sqft ·
Built —
· Other
· Pending
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,202/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$90
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$252
Net cashflow
$257/mo
Annual
$3,078/yr
Cap rate
8.97%
Cash-on-cash
9.56%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $257 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#187 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
St. Landry Parish (town): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #54 of 98 in LA (top 55%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Park Vista Elementary School (math 18% / reading 25%, grade F, #434 of 646 statewide, top 68%, 575 students, 77% FRL); Opelousas Middle School (math 5% / reading 16%, grade F, #197 of 218 statewide, top 91%, 246 students, 92% FRL); Opelousas Senior High School (math 11% / reading 18%, grade F, #224 of 265 statewide, top 86%, 840 students, 77% FRL).
Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 142 units permitted in St. Landry Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Landry County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.0% in Opelousas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GH7GNX13GJM2WZ
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29