2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,504 sqft ·
Built 1991
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,561/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$263
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$328
Net cashflow
$498/mo
Annual
$5,974/yr
Cap rate
12.93%
Cash-on-cash
23.71%
DSCR
2.05
1% rule
1.73%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $498 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,322 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
San Elizario ISD (suburban): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #783 of 826 in TX (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Alfonso Borrego Sr El (math 18% / reading 26%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 472 students, 91% FRL); Ann M Garcia-Enriquez Middle (math 18% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,327 of 1,662 statewide, top 81%, 496 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 91% FRL vs 49% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 2,196 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (143 in 5+ unit buildings).
El Paso County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GHD629AS38XJQ7
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29