1307 Beverly Ann Dr · San Elizario, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful Home in a Quiet Neighborhood sitting in half an acre.
Key facts
- 0.46 acre lot
- Built 1991
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $498 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,322 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- San Elizario ISD (suburban): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #783 of 826 in TX (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Alfonso Borrego Sr El (math 18% / reading 26%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 472 students, 91% FRL); Ann M Garcia-Enriquez Middle (math 18% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,327 of 1,662 statewide, top 81%, 496 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 91% FRL vs 49% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 2,196 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (143 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
- El Paso County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.71%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $53,409
- Equity at exit
- $51,919
- IRR
- 32.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.31×
- Total profit
- $133,839
- Equity at exit
- $90,374
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79849
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,561 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$226 /mo · $2,707/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$328
- Net cashflow
- $498
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2025-04-02status Pending
-
2025-04-02$90,000 Active
-
2005-03-15soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,707 · $226/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,707 · $226/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,728
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$2,707
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,498
- − Management
- −$1,498
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $4,915
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,180
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,795/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Elizario ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838850
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,590
- Composite
- 16.15/100
- National rank
- #9231
- State rank
- #783 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Elizario
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1322
- US rank
- #22789
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Elizario, TX
- City population
- 13,582
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,582
Population outlook (El Paso County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 897,899 people
- By 2030
- 922,694 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 960,492 · +7.0%
- By 2050
- 982,919 · +9.5%
- By 2075
- 997,266 · +11.1%
- By 2100
- 900,630 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 98% Two or more races 55% White 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 93%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 11% English-only · Spanish 89%
Political lean MEDSL · El Paso
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.1) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.4pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.1 2020: D+35.1 2016: D+43.2 2012: D+32.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.17%
- Current HPI
- 227.9391
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2025-04-02 Pending — GEPARMLS
- 2025-04-02 Listed $90,000 GEPARMLS
- 2005-03-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+16.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,707 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…