3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,240 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 149 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,161/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$325
Tax + insurance
−$54
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$244
Net cashflow
$539/mo
Annual
$6,467/yr
Cap rate
16.74%
Cash-on-cash
37.31%
DSCR
2.66
1% rule
1.88%
Cash to close
$17,332
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $62k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $539 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $54k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($428 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Walkerville Public Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #624 of 760 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 147 units permitted in Oceana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oceana County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $17k; list at $62k implies a 264% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GHDJB76Q2WNG8Q
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29