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212 W Michigan St
A- Composite 82.62
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$61,900

212 W Michigan St · Leavitt, MI 49459
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,240 sqft · SingleFamily · 149 Days on market
Built 1920 0.30 ac lot $50/sqft · 29% below area Est $88k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Make it your own! ready for your design and taste! Could be a beautiful farm house with a double lot in the heart of Walkerville. Large detached 2 car garage (24x32) and a corner lot. Lots of potential in this rehab home. Pellet stove main floor, propane wall heater. Buyer to confirm all information. Cash or conventional loans only!

Key facts

  • Double lot
  • Propane wall heater
  • Pellet stove

Tags

DOUBLE LOTCORNER LOTPELLET STOVEPROPANE WALL HEATER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $62k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $539 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
  • Recommended offer: $54k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Walkerville Public Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #624 of 760 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 147 units permitted in Oceana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($428 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
  • Oceana County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $17k; list at $62k implies a 264% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $54,472 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.88%
Cap rate
16.74%
Cash-on-cash
37.31%
DSCR
2.66
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$87,736
List price
$61,900
Delta
-29.45%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
138 W North St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,350 (+9%) 6mo $150,000 $111 71
253 Main St 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,140 (-8%) 5mo $59,900 $53 62
164 S Hamon St 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,176 (-5%) 16mo $42,000 $36 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.88% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.1%
Equity multiple
3.99×
Total profit
$51,744
Equity at exit
$38,445
10-year hold
IRR
44.2%
Equity multiple
8.24×
Total profit
$125,419
Equity at exit
$69,319

Cash invested: $17,332 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49459

Home prices YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,161 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$325
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $334/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$539

Break-even live

Break-even rent $479
Max offer price $61,900
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,475
Closing costs
$1,857
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $61,900 Active 149 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $61,900 Active 148 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $61,900 Active 147 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $61,900 Active 146 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $61,900 Active 144 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $61,900 Active 143 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $61,900 Active 140 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $61,900 Active 139 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $61,900 Active 138 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $61,900 Active 136 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $61,900 Active 134 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $61,900 Active 133 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $61,900 Active 132 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $61,900 Active 131 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $61,900 Active 130 DOM
  16. 2026-01-20
    listed $61,900 Active 334-char remark
    Show marketing remark (334 chars)

    Make it your own! ready for your design and taste! Could be a beautiful farm house with a double lot in the heart of Walkerville. Large detached 2 car garage (24x32) and a corner lot. Lots of potential in this rehab home. Pellet stove main floor, propane wall heater. Buyer to confirm all information. Cash or conventional loans only!

  17. 2026-01-20
    listed $61,900 Active 334-char remark
    Show marketing remark (334 chars)

    Make it your own! ready for your design and taste! Could be a beautiful farm house with a double lot in the heart of Walkerville. Large detached 2 car garage (24x32) and a corner lot. Lots of potential in this rehab home. Pellet stove main floor, propane wall heater. Buyer to confirm all information. Cash or conventional loans only!

  18. 2026-01-20
    listed $61,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (334 chars)

    Make it your own! ready for your design and taste! Could be a beautiful farm house with a double lot in the heart of Walkerville. Large detached 2 car garage (24x32) and a corner lot. Lots of potential in this rehab home. Pellet stove main floor, propane wall heater. Buyer to confirm all information. Cash or conventional loans only!

  19. 2022-04-27
    historical
  20. 2022-04-26
    historical
  21. 2022-04-26
    historical
  22. 2022-04-18
    price $34,900
  23. 2022-04-18
    price $34,900
  24. 2022-04-11
    listed $39,900 Active
  25. 2022-04-11
    listed $39,900 Active
  26. 2022-04-11
    listed $34,900
  27. 2016-04-03
    soldstatus $17,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$334 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$644 · $54/mo
Expected delta
+$310/yr (+$26/mo · 92.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,931
− Mortgage interest
−$3,467
− Property taxes
−$334
− Insurance
−$310
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,115
− Management
−$1,115
− Depreciation
−$1,801
Taxable income
$5,791
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,390
After-tax cash flow
$5,077/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Walkerville Public Schools
NCES district ID
2635130
Math proficiency
20% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$36,426
Composite
21.82/100
National rank
#13574
State rank
#624 of 760 in MI

Livability — Leavitt

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Walkerville, MI
Population (ZIP)
1,551

Population outlook (Oceana County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,141 people
By 2030
24,324 · -3.2%
By 2040
22,484 · -10.6%
By 2050
20,561 · -18.2%
By 2075
16,280 · -35.2%
By 2100
11,376 · -54.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 15% Native American 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oceana

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.2% · R 64.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-34.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -30.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+27.3 2012: R+10.3 2008: D+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.88%
Current HPI
165.4039
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+264.1% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $61,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $61,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $61,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-04-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-04-26 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2022-04-26 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-04-18 Price Changed $34,900 REALCOMP
  • 2022-04-18 Price Changed $34,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-04-11 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-04-11 Listed $39,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-04-11 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2016-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-10.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $334 · -77.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…