212 W Michigan St · Leavitt, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$61,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Make it your own! ready for your design and taste! Could be a beautiful farm house with a double lot in the heart of Walkerville. Large detached 2 car garage (24x32) and a corner lot. Lots of potential in this rehab home. Pellet stove main floor, propane wall heater. Buyer to confirm all information. Cash or conventional loans only!
Key facts
- Double lot
- Propane wall heater
- Pellet stove
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $62k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $539 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
- Recommended offer: $54k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Walkerville Public Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #624 of 760 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 147 units permitted in Oceana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($428 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
- Oceana County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $62k implies a 264% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.31%
- DSCR
- 2.66
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $87,736
- List price
- $61,900
- Delta
- -29.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 138 W North St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (+9%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $111 | 71 |
| 253 Main St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,140 (-8%) | 5mo | $59,900 | $53 | 62 |
| 164 S Hamon St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,176 (-5%) | 16mo | $42,000 | $36 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.88% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.99×
- Total profit
- $51,744
- Equity at exit
- $38,445
- IRR
- 44.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.24×
- Total profit
- $125,419
- Equity at exit
- $69,319
Cash invested: $17,332 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49459
- Home prices YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,161 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$325
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $334/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $539
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,475
- Closing costs
- $1,857
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
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2026-06-18days on market $61,900 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $61,900 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $61,900 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $61,900 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $61,900 Active 144 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $61,900 Active 143 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $61,900 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $61,900 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $61,900 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $61,900 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $61,900 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $61,900 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $61,900 Active 132 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $61,900 Active 131 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $61,900 Active 130 DOM
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2026-01-20$61,900 Active 334-char remark
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
Make it your own! ready for your design and taste! Could be a beautiful farm house with a double lot in the heart of Walkerville. Large detached 2 car garage (24x32) and a corner lot. Lots of potential in this rehab home. Pellet stove main floor, propane wall heater. Buyer to confirm all information. Cash or conventional loans only!
-
2026-01-20$61,900 Active 334-char remark
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
Make it your own! ready for your design and taste! Could be a beautiful farm house with a double lot in the heart of Walkerville. Large detached 2 car garage (24x32) and a corner lot. Lots of potential in this rehab home. Pellet stove main floor, propane wall heater. Buyer to confirm all information. Cash or conventional loans only!
-
2026-01-20$61,900 Active
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
Make it your own! ready for your design and taste! Could be a beautiful farm house with a double lot in the heart of Walkerville. Large detached 2 car garage (24x32) and a corner lot. Lots of potential in this rehab home. Pellet stove main floor, propane wall heater. Buyer to confirm all information. Cash or conventional loans only!
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2022-04-27historical
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2022-04-26historical
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2022-04-26historical
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2022-04-18price $34,900
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2022-04-18price $34,900
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2022-04-11$39,900 Active
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2022-04-11$39,900 Active
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2022-04-11$34,900
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2016-04-03soldstatus $17,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $334 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $644 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- +$310/yr (+$26/mo · 92.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,931
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,467
- − Property taxes
- −$334
- − Insurance
- −$310
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,115
- − Management
- −$1,115
- − Depreciation
- −$1,801
- Taxable income
- $5,791
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,390
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,077/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walkerville Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2635130
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,426
- Composite
- 21.82/100
- National rank
- #13574
- State rank
- #624 of 760 in MI
Livability — Leavitt
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Walkerville, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,551
Population outlook (Oceana County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,141 people
- By 2030
- 24,324 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 22,484 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 20,561 · -18.2%
- By 2075
- 16,280 · -35.2%
- By 2100
- 11,376 · -54.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 15% Native American 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oceana
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.2% · R 64.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -30.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+27.3 2012: R+10.3 2008: D+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.88%
- Current HPI
- 165.4039
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+264.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-20 Listed $61,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-20 Listed $61,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-01-20 Listed $61,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-04-27 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-04-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-04-26 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-04-18 Price Changed $34,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-04-18 Price Changed $34,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-04-11 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-04-11 Listed $39,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-04-11 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2016-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-10.8%/yrLatest (2025): $334 · -77.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…