4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,112 sqft ·
Built 1996
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,197/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,144
Tax + insurance
−$999
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$881
Net cashflow
$-827/mo
Annual
$-9,929/yr
Cap rate
4.64%
Cash-on-cash
-5.91%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$167,860
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $600k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-827 ($-10k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-414/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $480k (20.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $420k (30.0% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $420k (30.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $64k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $60k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Sedro-Woolley School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #117 of 291 in WA (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 226 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 561 units permitted in Skagit County in 2024 (270 in 5+ unit buildings).
Skagit County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$103k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.4% in Sedro-Woolley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,197/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($93k/yr) (locally 502% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GJDQD00YDMCXFK
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29