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107 Talcott St Duplex
D Composite 44.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.2/30.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0

$599,500

107 Talcott St · Sedro-Woolley, WA 98284
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,112 sqft · MultiFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1996 9,583 sqft lot Est $661k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Outstanding investment opportunity in the heart of Sedro-Woolley! This turn-key residential duplex located at 107-109 Talcott Street features a spacious 2,112 square foot total layout, built in 1996. Positioned on a generous 9,583 square foot lot, the property offers comfortable 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom configurations on each side ideal for consistent rental demand. The low-maintenance exterior features a durable concrete foundation and composition roofing. Situated in the highly convenient South Town residential neighborhood, the property offers fantastic walkability—just blocks from local parks, downtown dining, and under a quarter-mile from Sedro-Woolley High School. Perfect for a sav

Key facts

  • Composition roofing
  • Concrete foundation
  • Local parks

Tags

TURN-KEY RESIDENTIAL DUPLEXLOW-MAINTENANCE EXTERIORCONCRETE FOUNDATIONCOMPOSITION ROOFINGFANTASTIC WALKABILITYLOCAL PARKS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property possible uses: Multi-family, Residential
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional; Total expenses reported: $2,903

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; 2 covered spaces; 4 uncovered parking spaces; RV parking available
  • Security: Fully fenced property
  • Utilities: Electric service; Public water (Skagit PUD); Sewer connected (City of Sedro-Woolley); Cable: Xfinity; Internet: Xfinity
  • Home design: Duplex (residential income, multi-family); Two stories; Has a view; Style code: Duplex
  • Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Poured concrete foundation; Built as a duplex
  • Exterior features: Fully fenced; Outbuildings; RV parking; Wood exterior/wood products; Paved lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Each unit includes a range/oven; Each unit includes a refrigerator; Each unit includes a dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Vinyl and carpet flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in one unit; washer/dryer not included in the other unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $600k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-827 ($-10k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-414/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $480k (20.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $420k (30.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $420k (30.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.4% in Sedro-Woolley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Sedro-Woolley School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #117 of 291 in WA (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 226 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 561 units permitted in Skagit County in 2024 (270 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,197/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($93k/yr) (locally 502% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $64k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $60k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Skagit County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$103k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $419,700 (30.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
4.64%
Cash-on-cash
-5.91%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$661,056
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
513 Marshall St 0.58mi 5/4.0 (+1) 1,885 (-11%) 2mo $590,000 $313 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$273,871
Equity at exit
$540,077
10-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
6.05×
Total profit
$848,070
Equity at exit
$1,164,697

Cash invested: $167,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98284

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
226
Price-to-rent
23.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,197 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,144
Tax est. 1.5%
$749 /mo · $8,992/yr
Insurance
$250
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$881
Net cashflow
$-827

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,244
Max offer price $479,777
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-413 -5% $-620 +0% $-827 +5% $-1,035 +10% $-1,242
Rent -10% $-1,159 -5% $-993 +0% $-827 +5% $-662 +10% $-496
Rate -1.0pp $-525 -0.5pp $-675 base $-827 +0.5pp $-983 +1.0pp $-1,141

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,197

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$149,875
Closing costs
$17,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
517 Alexander St Sedro Woolley, WA 3.0 2.5 1787 $2,495 $1.40 44d 1 0.49mi
320 Birchwood Ln Sedro-Woolley, WA 3.0 2.5 1400 $2,500 $1.79 44d 1 0.80mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 693-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $599,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥83°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$50,364
− Mortgage interest
−$33,581
− Property taxes
−$8,992
− Insurance
−$2,998
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,029
− Management
−$4,029
− Depreciation
−$17,440
Taxable loss
−$20,706
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,969
After-tax cash flow
$-4,959/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sedro-Woolley School District
NCES district ID
5307740
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$57,385
Composite
47.45/100
National rank
#5005
State rank
#117 of 291 in WA

Livability — Sedro-Woolley

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Sedro-Woolley, WA
County
Skagit County · 118,108 people
Metro
Mount Vernon-Anacortes, WA
Population (ZIP)
27,835
Household income
$93,006
Rent vs Own
27.0% rent · 73.0% own
Severe rent burden
502.0

Population outlook (Skagit County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
131,498 people
By 2030
135,556 · +3.1%
By 2040
141,717 · +7.8%
By 2050
145,714 · +10.8%
By 2075
152,201 · +15.7%
By 2100
147,980 · +12.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Slovak 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Skagit

2024 margin
Lean D (+8.9) · D 52.9% · R 44.0% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-0.7pp no change · 2008: 9.6pp · 2024: 8.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+8.9 2020: D+7.5 2016: D+3.2 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+9.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 43.42%
Current HPI
1280.83
Rent YoY
Metro
Mount Vernon-Anacortes, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $599,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…