3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,730 sqft ·
Built 1987
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 72 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,320/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,232
Tax + insurance
−$353
HOA
−$505
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$487
Net cashflow
$-258/mo
Annual
$-3,091/yr
Cap rate
4.98%
Cash-on-cash
-4.70%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$65,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $235k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-258 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (19.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (1.3% below list).
It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($221k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $189k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#101 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Parkway C-2 (suburban): math 49% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #18 of 324 in MO (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-3.0%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GJH15VC232VYX6
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29