2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,265 sqft ·
Built 2016
· Condo
· Active
· 81 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,374/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$308
HOA
−$805
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$499
Net cashflow
$-208/mo
Annual
$-2,493/yr
Cap rate
4.95%
Cash-on-cash
-4.81%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
1.28%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $185k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-208 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (16.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $155k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#453 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Keenes Crossing Elementary (math 79% / reading 82%, grade A+, #104 of 2,144 statewide, top 5%, 1,000 students, 22% FRL); Bridgewater Middle (math 68% / reading 70%, grade A, #68 of 571 statewide, top 12%, 1,210 students, 18% FRL); West Orange High (math 30% / reading 60%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 2,816 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 25% FRL vs 56% district-wide (32 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 65% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Orange average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 1605 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.2% in Four Corners — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-GJHRZ069MW3ARH
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29