2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,904 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Manufactured
· Active
· 58 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,214/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,458
Tax + insurance
−$463
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$675
Net cashflow
$618/mo
Annual
$7,416/yr
Cap rate
8.96%
Cash-on-cash
9.53%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$77,840
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $278k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $618 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $278k).
It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($270k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $270k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#408 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, cost of living F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 64 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $278k implies a 363% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 2.9% in West Carson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,214/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 979% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— severely dated and worn
Major: kitchen appliances
— outdated and non-functional
Major: bathroom fixtures
— dated and in poor condition
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· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29