2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
998 sqft ·
Built 1954
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,600/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,411
Tax + insurance
−$406
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$546
Net cashflow
$237/mo
Annual
$2,845/yr
Cap rate
7.35%
Cash-on-cash
3.78%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$75,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $269k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $260k (3.3% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($265k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $260k (3.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
North Colonie CSD (suburban): math 70% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #102 of 590 in NY (top 17%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Loudonville School (math 77% / reading 72%, grade A, #314 of 2,108 statewide, top 17%, 287 students, 14% FRL); Shaker Middle School (math 54% / reading 72%, grade B+, #129 of 729 statewide, top 18%, 1,423 students, 26% FRL); Shaker High School (math 98% / reading 93%, grade A+, #76 of 1,100 statewide, top 7%, 2,018 students, 25% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.8% in Loudonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GM43V7D49Y5BVY
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29