4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,700 sqft ·
Built —
· Other
· Active
· 60 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,312/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$52
Tax + insurance
−$17
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$276
Net cashflow
$967/mo
Annual
$11,610/yr
Cap rate
122.39%
Cash-on-cash
414.64%
DSCR
19.45
1% rule
13.12%
Cash to close
$2,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $10k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $967 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $10k).
It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($10k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $10k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $576 of equity ($69 loan paydown + $507 appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#408 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Fairfield Comm H S District 225 (town): math 15% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #725 of 919 in IL (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: North Side Elem School (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #658 of 2,056 statewide, top 35%, 321 students, 0% FRL); Center Street Elem School (math 20% / reading 29%, grade F, #332 of 665 statewide, top 55%, 293 students, 0% FRL); Fairfield Comm High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #430 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 449 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP.
Wayne County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GMQZ3896N7A48K
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29