4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,032 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,523/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,481
Tax + insurance
−$292
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$320
Net cashflow
$-570/mo
Annual
$-6,839/yr
Cap rate
3.87%
Cash-on-cash
-8.65%
DSCR
0.62
1% rule
0.54%
Cash to close
$79,100
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $282k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-570 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (35.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (46.1% below list).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $152k (46.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#10 in ND, #2,868 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
West Fargo 6 (suburban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #26 of 53 in ND (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: L E Berger Elementary School (math 37% / reading 27%, grade F, #173 of 236 statewide, top 76%, 370 students, 72% FRL); Cheney Middle School (math 40% / reading 45%, grade D-, #18 of 35 statewide, top 50%, 1,012 students, 43% FRL); West Fargo High School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #71 of 144 statewide, top 52%, 1,423 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 24% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 262 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,218 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (410 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cass County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $132k; list at $282k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 3.1% in West Fargo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 46% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GN6XB9EWDJV5R0
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29