3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,458 sqft ·
Built 2011
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,820/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,089
Tax + insurance
−$684
HOA
−$35
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$592
Net cashflow
$-1,579/mo
Annual
$-18,953/yr
Cap rate
3.08%
Cash-on-cash
-11.49%
DSCR
0.49
1% rule
0.48%
Cash to close
$164,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $589k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-19k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $310k (47.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $282k (52.1% below list).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($571k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $282k (52.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $63k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $59k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Dieringer School District (suburban): math 74% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #6 of 291 in WA (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 296 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$101k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 52% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GR48B51Q8E7NCB
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29