3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
848 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Manufactured
· Active
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,066/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$208
HOA
−$3
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$224
Net cashflow
$-25/mo
Annual
$-296/yr
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.84%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-25 ($-296/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (2.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (14.7% below list).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Mason County Central Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #345 of 540 in MI (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Scottville Elementary School (254 students, 72% FRL); Mason County Central Ms (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #343 of 493 statewide, top 72%, 297 students, 66% FRL); Mason County Central Hs (math 17% / reading 57%, grade F, #334 of 713 statewide, top 51%, 407 students, 53% FRL).
Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 177 units permitted in Mason County in 2024 (97 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mason County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
13 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $42k; list at $125k implies a 201% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GT4893FA4BFGWJ
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29