2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Manufactured
· Active
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,228/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,306
Tax + insurance
−$299
HOA
−$8
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$678
Net cashflow
$938/mo
Annual
$11,254/yr
Cap rate
10.81%
Cash-on-cash
16.14%
DSCR
1.72
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$69,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $249k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $938 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $249k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Eldred Central School District (rural): math 33% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #495 of 590 in NY (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: George Ross Mackenzie Elementary School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,577 of 2,108 statewide, top 77%, 242 students, 38% FRL); Eldred Junior-Senior High School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade D+, #946 of 1,100 statewide, top 88%, 230 students, 46% FRL).
Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 2.3% in Eldred — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GWGTT32Q61CVG5
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29