3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,929 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 123 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,130/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$208
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$237
Net cashflow
$344/mo
Annual
$4,130/yr
Cap rate
12.65%
Cash-on-cash
22.69%
DSCR
2.01
1% rule
1.74%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#186 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
Jefferson Davis County School District (rural): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #104 of 130 in MS (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 97% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Carver Elementary School (math 20% / reading 28%, grade F, #228 of 375 statewide, top 61%, 260 students, 100% FRL); Jdc Middle School (272 students, 100% FRL); Jdc High School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #170 of 197 statewide, top 90%, 387 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools at 100% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP.
Jefferson Davis County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $27k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GWMW304PYDCHWY
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29