6 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,160 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 53 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,402/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$886
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$294
Net cashflow
$87/mo
Annual
$1,050/yr
Cap rate
6.91%
Cash-on-cash
2.22%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$47,320
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $169k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (17.1% below list).
It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $140k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,174 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Noble Local (rural): math 53% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #371 of 656 in OH (top 57%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Noble County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Noble County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GWR5AB2F6757X1
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29