3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,047 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,147/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$813
Tax + insurance
−$182
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$241
Net cashflow
$-89/mo
Annual
$-1,070/yr
Cap rate
5.60%
Cash-on-cash
-2.47%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$43,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-89 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $139k (10.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (26.0% below list).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $115k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Oklahoma City (urban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #254 of 270 in OK (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Fillmore Es (math 4% / reading 6%, grade F, #766 of 845 statewide, top 94%, 654 students, 0% FRL); Classen Ms of Advanced Studies (math 35% / reading 46%, grade F, #6 of 345 statewide, top 1%, 855 students, 0% FRL); Capitol Hill Hs (math 2% / reading 4%, grade F, #444 of 447 statewide, top 99%, 1,455 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 82% district-wide (82 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $95k; list at $155k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.7% in Oklahoma City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GWZ65NADG9DFPX
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29