6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
1,962 sqft ·
Built 1976
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,904/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,332
Tax + insurance
−$423
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$610
Net cashflow
$539/mo
Annual
$6,466/yr
Cap rate
8.84%
Cash-on-cash
9.09%
DSCR
1.40
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$71,120
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $254k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $539 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $269/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $254k).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Saginaw Township Community Schools (suburban): math 27% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #265 of 540 in MI (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.7% rent growth), your $71k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
At $2,904/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 1106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GY1N293PZS1EDR
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29