Duplex
4566 Shattuck Rd #4568 · Saginaw, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$254,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Searching for duplexes in Saginaw Township is no easy task. .. once they appear on the market, they quickly vanish! Well here's your chance- this wonderfully-updated duplex is now available, so act quickly! Unit #1, currently occupied, has a spacious living room & kitchen, 2 bedrooms, full bath, basement & large deck. Unit #2 is vacant and features a spacious living room, family room with fireplace (which was originally the 2nd bedroom & could be converted back), nice bedroom with great closet space, updated kitchen & bath, partially finished basement with spacious rec room or office space, & private patio. You'll also find a new furnace, flooring, light fixture
Key facts
- New furnace
- New landscaping
- Updated duplex
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two-unit property; Unit 1 is occupied and rents for $875
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with electric and garage door opener (2 parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sanitary sewer; Natural gas; Separate heat, water, electric, and gas for units
- Home design: Multi-family property; Single-story structure; Built in 1976
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction; Basement foundation; Year built: 1976
- Exterior features: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Basement foundation
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range/Oven; Refrigerator; Unit 1 kitchen on the first floor; Unit 2 kitchen on the first floor (14 x 12)
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: Bedrooms on the first floor; Unit 2: Primary bedroom on the first floor (13 x 12)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total; First-floor half bath/lavatory
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling; Natural gas fuel
- Interior features: Fireplace in family room (wood-burning); Partially finished basement
- Laundry & utility: Basement present (partially finished)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $254k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $539 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $269/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $254k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Saginaw Township Community Schools (suburban): math 27% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #265 of 540 in MI (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,904/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 1106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.7% rent growth), your $71k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.09%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $7,618
- Equity at exit
- $37,872
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $116,213
- Equity at exit
- $21,961
Cash invested: $71,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48603
- Rents YoY
- 7.7%
- Active inventory
- 156
- Price-to-rent
- 14.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,904 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,332
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$318 /mo · $3,810/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$610
- Net cashflow
- $539
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $714 | -5% $627 | +0% $539 | +5% $451 | +10% $363 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $309 | -5% $424 | +0% $539 | +5% $654 | +10% $768 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $667 | -0.5pp $603 | base $539 | +0.5pp $473 | +1.0pp $406 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $2,904 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $1,452 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $1,452 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,904 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,500
- Closing costs
- $7,620
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18status $254,000 Pending 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $254,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $254,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $254,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $254,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $254,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $254,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $254,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $254,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 679-char remark
-
2026-06-07$254,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,848
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,228
- − Property taxes
- −$3,810
- − Insurance
- −$1,270
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,788
- − Management
- −$2,788
- − Depreciation
- −$7,389
- Taxable income
- $2,575
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$618
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,848/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This well-maintained and updated duplex is in good condition with no major repairs needed. Painting and updating the flooring can further enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the property more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
- Both Updating the flooring in the living areas — New flooring can improve the overall look and feel of the living spaces, making the property more appealing to potential buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the property more attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Updating the flooring in the living areas — New flooring can improve the overall look and feel of the living spaces, making the property more appealing to potential buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saginaw Township Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2630450
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,971
- Composite
- 31.01/100
- National rank
- #6094
- State rank
- #265 of 540 in MI
Livability — Saginaw
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #15424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saginaw County · 54,884 people
- City population
- 54,884
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,757
- Household income
- $66,352
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1106.0
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 5% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 7% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.35%
- Current HPI
- 152.7507
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.71%
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $254,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…