1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
600 sqft ·
Built 1935
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 210 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$859/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$392
Tax + insurance
−$89
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$180
Net cashflow
$198/mo
Annual
$2,371/yr
Cap rate
9.46%
Cash-on-cash
11.32%
DSCR
1.50
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$20,944
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $198 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($859 rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $517 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Robinson Elementary School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,580 of 1,584 statewide, top 100%, 358 students, 0% FRL); Jesup W. Scott High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #726 of 781 statewide, top 94%, 736 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Toledo City average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $9k; list at $75k implies a 750% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GYDH353W19RM66
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29