913 Coventry Ave · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- ARV discount +12.7/15.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,800
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bank Owned Auction! Tuesday, May 31, 2016 at 10:30 am. Minimum Bid $6,000 for this fixer upper near UT. Home sits on a large front lot. Price may not reflect additional buyers premium. List price equals minimum bid.
Key facts
- Blacktop driveway
- New hot water tank
- New electrical panel
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt driveway; Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Sanitary sewer; Circuit breaker electrical service
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Estimated year built
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range connection; Water heater
- Bedrooms: Second bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Formal dining room; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $198 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($859 rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Robinson Elementary School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,580 of 1,584 statewide, top 100%, 358 students, 0% FRL); Jesup W. Scott High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #726 of 781 statewide, top 94%, 736 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Toledo City average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $517 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $9k; list at $75k implies a 750% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.32%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $84,600
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 514 Conrad Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 624 (+4%) | 1mo | $87,900 | $141 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $4,997
- Equity at exit
- $11,153
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.97×
- Total profit
- $41,194
- Equity at exit
- $6,467
Cash invested: $20,944 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43607
- Home prices YoY
- -27.5%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $859 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$392
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $696/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$180
- Net cashflow
- $198
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,700
- Closing costs
- $2,244
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1919 Kensington Rd Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $775 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2445 W Bancroft St Unit 2445-15 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 557 | $625 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2250 Torrey Hill Dr Unit 2254-5 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 563 | $770 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1700 Secor Rd Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $799 | $1.01 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3414 Dorr St Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 570 | $715 | $1.25 | 23d | 5 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $74,800 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricestatus $74,800 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $6,000 215-char remark
Show marketing remark (215 chars)
Bank Owned Auction! Tuesday, May 31, 2016 at 10:30 am. Minimum Bid $6,000 for this fixer upper near UT. Home sits on a large front lot. Price may not reflect additional buyers premium. List price equals minimum bid.
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2025-12-15price $78,800
-
2025-10-14price $15,000 96-char remark
Show marketing remark (96 chars)
Completely remodeled 1 bedroom house and Section 8 approved. Currently leased for $535 a month.
-
2025-10-14price $6,000
Show marketing remark (96 chars)
Completely remodeled 1 bedroom house and Section 8 approved. Currently leased for $535 a month.
-
2025-10-02$88,800 Active
-
2016-06-13soldstatus $8,800 215-char remark
Show marketing remark (215 chars)
Bank Owned Auction! Tuesday, May 31, 2016 at 10:30 am. Minimum Bid $6,000 for this fixer upper near UT. Home sits on a large front lot. Price may not reflect additional buyers premium. List price equals minimum bid.
-
2016-06-01price $8,800 215-char remark
Show marketing remark (215 chars)
Bank Owned Auction! Tuesday, May 31, 2016 at 10:30 am. Minimum Bid $6,000 for this fixer upper near UT. Home sits on a large front lot. Price may not reflect additional buyers premium. List price equals minimum bid.
-
2016-05-04$6,000 215-char remark
Show marketing remark (215 chars)
Bank Owned Auction! Tuesday, May 31, 2016 at 10:30 am. Minimum Bid $6,000 for this fixer upper near UT. Home sits on a large front lot. Price may not reflect additional buyers premium. List price equals minimum bid.
-
2008-04-13soldstatus $15,000 96-char remark
Show marketing remark (96 chars)
Completely remodeled 1 bedroom house and Section 8 approved. Currently leased for $535 a month.
-
2007-10-09$25,000 96-char remark
Show marketing remark (96 chars)
Completely remodeled 1 bedroom house and Section 8 approved. Currently leased for $535 a month.
-
2007-04-04soldstatus $6,000
-
2006-12-22$6,900
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2006-07-18historical
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2006-01-18historical
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2006-01-17$16,500
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2006-01-17$16,500
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2002-12-02soldstatus $24,800
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2002-11-28soldstatus $24,750
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2002-09-13$24,750
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $696 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $931 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- +$236/yr (+$20/mo · 33.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,314
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,190
- − Property taxes
- −$696
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$825
- − Management
- −$825
- − Depreciation
- −$2,176
- Taxable income
- $1,228
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$295
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,076/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,469
- Household income
- $41,335
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1157.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 27% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.58%
- Current HPI
- 175.2772
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.19%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-75.8% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $6,000 NORIS
- 2026-04-29 Pending — NORIS
- 2025-12-15 Price Changed $78,800 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $15,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $6,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-02 Listed $88,800 NORIS
- 2016-06-13 Sold (MLS) $8,800 NORIS
- 2016-06-01 Price Changed $8,800 NORIS
- 2016-05-04 Listed $6,000 NORIS
- 2008-04-13 Sold (MLS) $15,000 NORIS
- 2007-10-09 Listed $25,000 NORIS
- 2007-04-04 Sold (MLS) $6,000 NORIS
- 2006-12-22 Listed $6,900 NORIS
- 2006-07-18 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2006-01-18 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2006-01-17 Listed $16,500 NORIS
- 2006-01-17 Listed $16,500 NORIS
- 2002-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $24,800 Public Records
- 2002-11-28 Sold (MLS) $24,750 NORIS
- 2002-09-13 Listed $24,750 NORIS
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $696 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…