1281 Tracie Dr

Lake Zurich, IL 60047

$569,000F

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,073 sqft · Built 1988 · SingleFamily · Active · 35 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,624/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,984
• Tax + insurance: −$955
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$761
• Net cashflow: $-1,076/mo
• Annual: $-12,911/yr
• Cap rate: 4.02%
• Cash-on-cash: -8.10%
• DSCR: 0.64
• 1% rule: 0.64%
• Cash to close: $159,320

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $569k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $379k (33.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $362k (36.3% below list).
• It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($552k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $362k (36.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#175 in IL, #3,345 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Lake Zurich CUSD 95 (suburban): math 47% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #44 of 620 in IL (top 7%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Isaac Fox Elementary School (math 52% / reading 48%, grade D+, #176 of 2,056 statewide, top 9%, 525 students, 0% FRL); Lake Zurich Middle - S Campus (math 41% / reading 50%, grade D+, #89 of 665 statewide, top 14%, 599 students, 0% FRL); Lake Zurich High School (math 54% / reading 58%, grade C, #25 of 693 statewide, top 4%, 1,804 students, 0% FRL).
• Market conditions: 164 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.