4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,177 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 169 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,531/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,780
Tax + insurance
−$566
HOA
−$42
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$531
Net cashflow
$-388/mo
Annual
$-4,658/yr
Cap rate
4.92%
Cash-on-cash
-4.90%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$95,032
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $305k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-388 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $283k (7.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $253k (17.0% below list).
It's been on market 169 days — a 12% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $253k (17.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#116 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Effingham County (rural): math 49% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #16 of 174 in GA (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Guyton Elementary School (math 45% / reading 35%, grade F, #427 of 1,228 statewide, top 35%, 739 students, 54% FRL); Effingham County Middle School (math 38% / reading 40%, grade F, #155 of 470 statewide, top 33%, 1,064 students, 52% FRL); Effingham County High School (math 28% / reading 27%, grade F, #158 of 424 statewide, top 37%, 2,108 students, 37% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Effingham County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 181 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 836 units permitted in Effingham County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).
Effingham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $54k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 96% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 169 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H04BQY9DGDDW67
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29