3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,348 sqft ·
Built 1963
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 100 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,370/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$214
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$288
Net cashflow
$449/mo
Annual
$5,391/yr
Cap rate
13.04%
Cash-on-cash
24.10%
DSCR
2.07
1% rule
1.71%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $449 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Jefferson Elementary School (math 72% / reading 67%, grade A-, #9 of 454 statewide, top 3%, 413 students, 31% FRL); Pulaski Heights Middle School (math 35% / reading 44%, grade F, #92 of 201 statewide, top 50%, 548 students, 57% FRL); Central High School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #64 of 292 statewide, top 26%, 2,338 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 47% FRL vs 69% district-wide (22 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 49% at this address vs 24% district-wide (+24 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Little Rock School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 79 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 4.3% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Signs of damage and potential leaks.
Major: exterior siding
— Peeling and in need of repainting or replacement.
Major: flooring
— Worn and in need of replacement.
Major: interior walls
— Signs of wear and potential water damage.
Major: HVAC unit
— Old and in need of replacement.
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown and in need of maintenance and landscaping improvements.
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