3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,080 sqft ·
Built 1901
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,099/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$184
Tax + insurance
−$121
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$231
Net cashflow
$563/mo
Annual
$6,759/yr
Cap rate
25.60%
Cash-on-cash
68.97%
DSCR
4.07
1% rule
3.14%
Cash to close
$9,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $563 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $34k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#361 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, schools B+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Morrisville-Eaton Central School District (rural): math 59% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #177 of 590 in NY (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 25.6% vs local median 1.4% in Hamilton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H0YFZ93K7EDN81
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29