3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,403 sqft ·
Built 1949
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,250/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$451
Tax + insurance
−$570
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$262
Net cashflow
$-33/mo
Annual
$-400/yr
Cap rate
11.78%
Cash-on-cash
19.59%
DSCR
1.87
1% rule
1.45%
Cash to close
$24,080
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $86k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-33 ($-400/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $81k (5.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $86k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $81k (5.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $595 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 50/100 on livability (#708 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Scotland County Schools (town): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #160 of 178 in NC (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Spring Hill Middle (math 25% / reading 29%, grade F, #374 of 475 statewide, top 80%, 643 students, 99% FRL); Scotland High School (math 45% / reading 44%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 1,445 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 70 units permitted in Scotland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Scotland County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $15k; list at $86k implies a 473% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H1FGHBBKA7242A
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29