7 First St · East Laurinburg, NC
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 75.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.5/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$86,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fix and Flip Opportunity or Finish to suit for your primary residence or investment property. This listing includes an additional adjoining lot and it borders Leiths Creek at the back line. 1.75 acres
Key facts
- Borders leiths creek
- 1.75 acres
- 1.75 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: E-LBG; Lot irregularly shaped, approximately 1.75 acres; Subdivision: Waverly Mills
Exterior
- Parking: Unpaved parking
- Utilities: No utilities listed; Road frontage on city street and state road
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story entry (entry level 1); One level total
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Creek on the property; Property has a view; No fencing
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Heating present (type: Other)
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Other interior features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $86k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-33 ($-400/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $81k (5.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $86k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (5.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#708 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Scotland County Schools (town): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #160 of 178 in NC (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Spring Hill Middle (math 25% / reading 29%, grade F, #374 of 475 statewide, top 80%, 643 students, 99% FRL); Scotland High School (math 45% / reading 44%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 1,445 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 70 units permitted in Scotland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $595 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Scotland County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $86k implies a 473% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.59%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $67,344
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 2nd St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,430 (+2%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $42 | 72 |
| 613 Mcnair Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,301 (-7%) | 12mo | $62,000 | $48 | 62 |
| 110 First St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,515 (+8%) | 9mo | $72,000 | $48 | 56 |
| 421 James St | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,478 (+5%) | 11mo | $152,200 | $103 | 43 |
| 302 S Caledonia Rd | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,257 (-10%) | 16mo | $94,000 | $75 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-15,780
- Equity at exit
- $12,823
- IRR
- -10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-15,336
- Equity at exit
- $7,436
Cash invested: $24,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28352
- Home prices YoY
- -3.4%
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$451
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$108 /mo · $1,290/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $-33
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $26 | -5% $-4 | +0% $-33 | +5% $-63 | +10% $-93 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-132 | -5% $-83 | +0% $-33 | +5% $16 | +10% $65 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $10 | -0.5pp $-11 | base $-33 | +0.5pp $-56 | +1.0pp $-78 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,500
- Closing costs
- $2,580
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 809 W Allen Ln Laurinburg, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1503 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $86,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $86,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $86,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $86,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $86,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $86,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $86,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $86,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $86,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $86,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $86,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 200-char remark
-
2026-06-03$86,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 75% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,817
- − Property taxes
- −$1,290
- − Insurance
- −$5,548
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,200
- − Management
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$2,502
- Taxable loss
- −$1,558
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$374
- After-tax cash flow
- $-27/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scotland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3704200
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,203
- Composite
- 20.66/100
- National rank
- #8536
- State rank
- #160 of 178 in NC
Livability — East Laurinburg
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #708
- US rank
- #25692
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Laurinburg, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,177
Population outlook (Scotland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,331 people
- By 2030
- 32,017 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 29,290 · -12.1%
- By 2050
- 26,554 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 19,857 · -40.4%
- By 2100
- 13,851 · -58.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% White 37% Native American 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Scotland
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.9) · D 46.2% · R 53.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.0pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -6.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.9 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+7.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.08%
- Current HPI
- 255.331
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+473.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $86,000 Hive MLS
- 2022-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $140 · -9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…