4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,280 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,580/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,360
Tax + insurance
−$423
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$752
Net cashflow
$45/mo
Annual
$545/yr
Cap rate
6.41%
Cash-on-cash
0.43%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$126,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $450k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $45 ($545/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $358k (20.4% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $358k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#280 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, cost of living D, amenities F.
Anne Arundel County Public Schools (suburban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #10 of 24 in MD (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Riviera Beach Elementary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #477 of 860 statewide, top 59%, 281 students, 50% FRL); Northeast Middle (math 6% / reading 32%, grade F, #155 of 225 statewide, top 70%, 882 students, 49% FRL); Northeast High (math 24% / reading 57%, grade F, #130 of 222 statewide, top 58%, 1,390 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 25% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 254 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,303 units permitted in Anne Arundel County in 2024 (299 in 5+ unit buildings).
Anne Arundel County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($128k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H20RR8CZDN38CW
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29