12 bd · 6.0 ba ·
3,780 sqft ·
Built 1935
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 84 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,718/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$320
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,201
Net cashflow
$2,912/mo
Annual
$34,945/yr
Cap rate
20.83%
Cash-on-cash
51.91%
DSCR
3.31
1% rule
2.33%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 12-bed/6.0-bath multifamily listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($35k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $245k).
It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($230k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $230k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#7 in MD, #287 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment F.
Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $185k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $69k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 20.8% vs local median 4.2% in Frostburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H2VTTD32RVSARS
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29