4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,798 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 116 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,632/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,820
Tax + insurance
−$601
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$553
Net cashflow
$-341/mo
Annual
$-4,095/yr
Cap rate
5.11%
Cash-on-cash
-4.21%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$97,160
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $347k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-341 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $287k (17.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (24.2% below list).
It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($316k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $263k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $37k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $35k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 651 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $285k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$60k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,632/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 4258% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H4X3C2ECKHS3BS
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29