2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,141 sqft ·
Built 1946
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,317/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$186
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$277
Net cashflow
$120/mo
Annual
$1,441/yr
Cap rate
7.32%
Cash-on-cash
3.68%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (5.9% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $132k (5.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Pinedale Elementary School (math 47% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,513 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 426 students, 79% FRL); Lake Shore Middle School (math 25% / reading 22%, grade F, #536 of 571 statewide, top 95%, 972 students, 75% FRL); William M. Raines High School (math 14% / reading 13%, grade F, #616 of 667 statewide, top 92%, 1,217 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 49% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duval average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 172 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $9k; list at $140k implies a 1456% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H56AW7ASJQVTH0
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29