2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,271 sqft ·
Built 2014
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,449/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,227
Tax + insurance
−$280
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$304
Net cashflow
$-363/mo
Annual
$-4,355/yr
Cap rate
4.43%
Cash-on-cash
-6.65%
DSCR
0.70
1% rule
0.62%
Cash to close
$65,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $234k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-363 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $170k (27.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (38.1% below list).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (38.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#210 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
East Valley School District (Yakima) (suburban): math 54% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #76 of 291 in WA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Terrace Heights Elementary (473 students, 73% FRL); East Valley Central Middle School (801 students, 71% FRL); East Valley High School (1,036 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 45% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.3%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 468 units permitted in Yakima County in 2024 (23 in 5+ unit buildings).
Yakima County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 2.8% in Terrace Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H5P4309KJSF1N0
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29