2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
11,072 sqft ·
Built 1989
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 101 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,007/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$471
Tax + insurance
−$111
HOA
−$258
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$211
Net cashflow
$-45/mo
Annual
$-544/yr
Cap rate
5.69%
Cash-on-cash
-2.16%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$25,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-45 ($-544/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $82k (8.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. Johns Public Schools (rural): math 33% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #177 of 540 in MI (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $70k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.7% in St. Johns — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H6Y6RZ9JTPCA2T
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29