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1151 Sunview Dr
D+ Composite 45.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

1151 Sunview Dr · St. Johns, MI 48879
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 11,072 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 101 Days on market
Built 1989 1,655 sqft lot $8/sqft · 95% below area Est $153k · 41% under $258/mo HOA · 26% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Adorable and affordable 2-bedroom condo. First floor with small patio, coin laundry, and carport space. Spacious master with super sized closet. Association fee included heat, water, outdoor maintenance, and exterior insurance.

Key facts

  • Coin laundry
  • Carport space
  • First floor

Tags

FIRST FLOORSMALL PATIOCOIN LAUNDRYCARPORT SPACESUPER SIZED CLOSETASSOCIATION FEE INCLUDED HEAT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-45 ($-544/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $82k (8.9% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.7% in St. Johns — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Johns Public Schools (rural): math 33% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #177 of 540 in MI (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $70k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
Recommended offer $81,809 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
5.69%
Cash-on-cash
-2.16%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$153,000
List price
$89,900
Delta
-41.24%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.7%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-17,304
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-18,176
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48879

Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,007 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $885/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$258
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$-45

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,064
Max offer price $81,893
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $6 -5% $-20 +0% $-45 +5% $-71 +10% $-96
Rent -10% $-125 -5% $-85 +0% $-45 +5% $-6 +10% $34
Rate -1.0pp $0 -0.5pp $-22 base $-45 +0.5pp $-69 +1.0pp $-92

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$258 · $3,096/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 101 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 100 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 99 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 98 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,900 Active 96 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 95 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,900 Active 93 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 92 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 91 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 90 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $89,900 Active 87 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,500 Active 86 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,500 Active 85 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,500 Active 84 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,500 Active 83 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $94,500 Active 82 DOM
  17. 2026-05-12
    price $94,500 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Adorable and affordable 2-bedroom condo. First floor with small patio, coin laundry, and carport space. Spacious master with super sized closet. Association fee included heat, water, outdoor maintenance, and exterior insurance.

  18. 2026-05-12
    price $94,500 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Adorable and affordable 2-bedroom condo. First floor with small patio, coin laundry, and carport space. Spacious master with super sized closet. Association fee included heat, water, outdoor maintenance, and exterior insurance.

  19. 2026-05-11
    status Active 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Adorable and affordable 2-bedroom condo. First floor with small patio, coin laundry, and carport space. Spacious master with super sized closet. Association fee included heat, water, outdoor maintenance, and exterior insurance.

  20. 2026-05-11
    status Active 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Adorable and affordable 2-bedroom condo. First floor with small patio, coin laundry, and carport space. Spacious master with super sized closet. Association fee included heat, water, outdoor maintenance, and exterior insurance.

  21. 2026-04-06
    historical Active Under Contract 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Adorable and affordable 2-bedroom condo. First floor with small patio, coin laundry, and carport space. Spacious master with super sized closet. Association fee included heat, water, outdoor maintenance, and exterior insurance.

  22. 2026-04-06
    historical Active Under Contract 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Adorable and affordable 2-bedroom condo. First floor with small patio, coin laundry, and carport space. Spacious master with super sized closet. Association fee included heat, water, outdoor maintenance, and exterior insurance.

  23. 2026-03-09
    listed $99,900 Active 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Adorable and affordable 2-bedroom condo. First floor with small patio, coin laundry, and carport space. Spacious master with super sized closet. Association fee included heat, water, outdoor maintenance, and exterior insurance.

  24. 2026-03-09
    listed $99,900 Active 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Adorable and affordable 2-bedroom condo. First floor with small patio, coin laundry, and carport space. Spacious master with super sized closet. Association fee included heat, water, outdoor maintenance, and exterior insurance.

  25. 2022-05-27
    soldstatus $70,000
  26. 2022-05-26
    soldstatus $70,000
  27. 2022-04-25
    listed $79,900
  28. 2022-01-10
    historical
  29. 2021-08-10
    listed $84,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$885 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,135 · $95/mo
Expected delta
+$250/yr (+$21/mo · 28.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,081
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$885
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$966
− Management
−$966
− HOA
−$3,096
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable loss
−$1,934
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$464
After-tax cash flow
$-80/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Johns Public Schools
NCES district ID
2632820
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$56,002
Composite
36.25/100
National rank
#4710
State rank
#177 of 540 in MI

Livability — St. Johns

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Johns, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,472

Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
81,490 people
By 2030
82,558 · +1.3%
By 2040
82,325 · +1.0%
By 2050
79,133 · -2.9%
By 2075
65,737 · -19.3%
By 2100
51,314 · -37.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clinton

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.6) · D 44.9% · R 53.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-9.3pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -8.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.6 2020: R+6.5 2016: R+12.7 2012: R+6.2 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -210.44%
Current HPI
248.4208
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.3% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $94,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $94,500 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2026-05-11 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-11 Relisted Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2026-04-06 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-06 Contingent Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $99,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2022-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2022-05-26 Sold (MLS) $70,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-04-25 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2022-01-10 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-08-10 Listed $84,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $885 · -31.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…