3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,471 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 98 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,504/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$849
Tax + insurance
−$179
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$316
Net cashflow
$160/mo
Annual
$1,918/yr
Cap rate
7.48%
Cash-on-cash
4.23%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$45,332
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $162k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (7.1% below list).
It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $147k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#72 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Saraland City (suburban): math 53% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #6 of 129 in AL (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Saraland Elementary School (math 71% / reading 82%, grade A, #12 of 627 statewide, top 2%, 958 students, 49% FRL); Saraland Middle Schooladams Campus (math 44% / reading 71%, grade B, #13 of 257 statewide, top 5%, 759 students, 48% FRL); Saraland High School (math 34% / reading 48%, grade F, #31 of 305 statewide, top 10%, 1,096 students, 50% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $100k; list at $162k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.9% in Saraland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H78XBG8A0NHQ68
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29