4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,352 sqft ·
Built 1994
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 218 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,574/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$417
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$331
Net cashflow
$-484/mo
Annual
$-5,809/yr
Cap rate
3.97%
Cash-on-cash
-8.30%
DSCR
0.63
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-484 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $180k (28.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (37.0% below list).
It's been on market 218 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $157k (37.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,454 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Montrose Area SD (rural): math 35% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #214 of 539 in PA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Susquehanna County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Susquehanna County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $85k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 218 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H8JMNTD9TW1F33
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29