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1689 Cork Hill Rd
D Composite 40.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.3/10.0
  • DSCR +0.3/10.0

$250,000

1689 Cork Hill Rd · Little Meadows, PA 18812
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,352 sqft · SingleFamily · 218 Days on market
Built 1994 17 ac lot $75/sqft · 46% below area Est $463k · 46% under ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the perfect blend of privacy and natural beauty with this expansive 17 acre wooded retreat near the PA/NY border. Located in the heart of scenic Northeast of Pennsylvania, this property offers a serene escape with endless possibilities. Whether you're dreaming of a private estate, recreational haven this Prime location has easy access to both Pennsylvania and New York. The existing home on site needs work and has been vacant, condition is unknown on well & septic, property sold as is , as of listing date. DO NOT ENTER PROPERTY WITHOUT AN APPOINMENT AND A REALTOR.

Key facts

  • Prime location
  • 17 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

17 ACRE WOODED RETREATPRIME LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-484 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $180k (28.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (37.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $157k (37.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,454 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Montrose Area SD (rural): math 35% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #214 of 539 in PA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Susquehanna County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
  • Susquehanna County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 218 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $85k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $157,414 (37.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 218 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.63%
Cap rate
3.97%
Cash-on-cash
-8.30%
DSCR
0.63
GRM
13.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$463,056
List price
$250,000
Delta
-46.01%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.46% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.6%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-20,471
Equity at exit
$91,371
10-year hold
IRR
-0.4%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-3,377
Equity at exit
$126,228

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18812

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
13.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,574 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax est. 1.5%
$312 /mo · $3,750/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$-484

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,187
Max offer price $179,947
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-311 -5% $-398 +0% $-484 +5% $-571 +10% $-657
Rent -10% $-608 -5% $-546 +0% $-484 +5% $-422 +10% $-360
Rate -1.0pp $-358 -0.5pp $-421 base $-484 +0.5pp $-549 +1.0pp $-615

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $250,000 Active 218 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $250,000 Active 216 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $250,000 Active 215 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Active 214 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 213 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 212 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $250,000 Active 210 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $250,000 Active 209 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $250,000 Active 207 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $250,000 Active 206 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $250,000 Active 205 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 204 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $250,000 Active 201 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,000 Active 200 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 199 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 198 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 197 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $250,000 Active 196 DOM
  19. 2026-04-20
    status Active 584-char remark
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Discover the perfect blend of privacy and natural beauty with this expansive 17 acre wooded retreat near the PA/NY border. Located in the heart of scenic Northeast of Pennsylvania, this property offers a serene escape with endless possibilities. Whether you're dreaming of a private estate, recreational haven this Prime location has easy access to both Pennsylvania and New York. The existing home on site needs work and has been vacant, condition is unknown on well & septic, property sold as is , as of listing date. DO NOT ENTER PROPERTY WITHOUT AN APPOINMENT AND A REALTOR.

  20. 2026-04-09
    price $250,000 584-char remark
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Discover the perfect blend of privacy and natural beauty with this expansive 17 acre wooded retreat near the PA/NY border. Located in the heart of scenic Northeast of Pennsylvania, this property offers a serene escape with endless possibilities. Whether you're dreaming of a private estate, recreational haven this Prime location has easy access to both Pennsylvania and New York. The existing home on site needs work and has been vacant, condition is unknown on well & septic, property sold as is , as of listing date. DO NOT ENTER PROPERTY WITHOUT AN APPOINMENT AND A REALTOR.

  21. 2026-03-09
    price $261,900 584-char remark
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Discover the perfect blend of privacy and natural beauty with this expansive 17 acre wooded retreat near the PA/NY border. Located in the heart of scenic Northeast of Pennsylvania, this property offers a serene escape with endless possibilities. Whether you're dreaming of a private estate, recreational haven this Prime location has easy access to both Pennsylvania and New York. The existing home on site needs work and has been vacant, condition is unknown on well & septic, property sold as is , as of listing date. DO NOT ENTER PROPERTY WITHOUT AN APPOINMENT AND A REALTOR.

  22. 2026-02-06
    price $273,900 584-char remark
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Discover the perfect blend of privacy and natural beauty with this expansive 17 acre wooded retreat near the PA/NY border. Located in the heart of scenic Northeast of Pennsylvania, this property offers a serene escape with endless possibilities. Whether you're dreaming of a private estate, recreational haven this Prime location has easy access to both Pennsylvania and New York. The existing home on site needs work and has been vacant, condition is unknown on well & septic, property sold as is , as of listing date. DO NOT ENTER PROPERTY WITHOUT AN APPOINMENT AND A REALTOR.

  23. 2026-01-07
    price $285,000 584-char remark
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Discover the perfect blend of privacy and natural beauty with this expansive 17 acre wooded retreat near the PA/NY border. Located in the heart of scenic Northeast of Pennsylvania, this property offers a serene escape with endless possibilities. Whether you're dreaming of a private estate, recreational haven this Prime location has easy access to both Pennsylvania and New York. The existing home on site needs work and has been vacant, condition is unknown on well & septic, property sold as is , as of listing date. DO NOT ENTER PROPERTY WITHOUT AN APPOINMENT AND A REALTOR.

  24. 2025-11-14
    listed $335,000 Active 584-char remark
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Discover the perfect blend of privacy and natural beauty with this expansive 17 acre wooded retreat near the PA/NY border. Located in the heart of scenic Northeast of Pennsylvania, this property offers a serene escape with endless possibilities. Whether you're dreaming of a private estate, recreational haven this Prime location has easy access to both Pennsylvania and New York. The existing home on site needs work and has been vacant, condition is unknown on well & septic, property sold as is , as of listing date. DO NOT ENTER PROPERTY WITHOUT AN APPOINMENT AND A REALTOR.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,890
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,750
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,511
− Management
−$1,511
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$10,409
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,498
After-tax cash flow
$-3,311/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montrose Area SD
NCES district ID
4215810
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$50,819
Composite
41.1/100
National rank
#3569
State rank
#214 of 539 in PA

Livability — Little Meadows

Score
60/100
State rank
#1454
US rank
#18657

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,584

Population outlook (Susquehanna County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,552 people
By 2030
35,270 · -6.1%
By 2040
30,663 · -18.3%
By 2050
26,492 · -29.5%
By 2075
19,658 · -47.7%
By 2100
15,179 · -59.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Susquehanna

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.7) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
2008→2024 swing
-33.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -44.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.7 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.46%
Current HPI
163.7239
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Relisted GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $250,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $261,900 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $273,900 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-01-07 Price Changed $285,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-11-14 Listed $335,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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