5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,160 sqft ·
Built 2001
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,575/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,992
Tax + insurance
−$516
HOA
−$175
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$541
Net cashflow
$-649/mo
Annual
$-7,786/yr
Cap rate
4.24%
Cash-on-cash
-7.32%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$106,372
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $380k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-649 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $265k (30.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $258k (32.2% below list).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($357k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $258k (32.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $35k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
North Pocono SD (rural): math 45% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #82 of 539 in PA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Moscow El Sch (math 62% / reading 82%, grade A-, #123 of 1,518 statewide, top 9%, 591 students, 43% FRL); North Pocono Ms (math 25% / reading 69%, grade D+, #163 of 512 statewide, top 33%, 665 students, 36% FRL); North Pocono Hs (math 72%, 905 students, 33% FRL).
Market conditions: 301 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 177 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $62k; list at $380k implies a 518% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H8MZN33NKXGVTF
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29