3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,016 sqft ·
Built 2006
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 151 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,559/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,796
Tax + insurance
−$657
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$537
Net cashflow
$-431/mo
Annual
$-5,171/yr
Cap rate
4.78%
Cash-on-cash
-5.39%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$95,900
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $342k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-431 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $266k (22.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $256k (25.3% below list).
It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($301k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $256k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in GA, #919 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-.
Atlanta Public Schools (urban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #80 of 174 in GA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Kipp Ways Primary Charter School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #1,160 of 1,228 statewide, top 98%, 477 students, 100% FRL, charter); Sylvan Hills Middle School (math 5% / reading 12%, grade F, #439 of 470 statewide, top 94%, 445 students, 100% FRL); Carver High School Early College (math 10% / reading 24%, grade F, #269 of 424 statewide, top 65%, 575 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 71% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 10% at this address vs 32% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Atlanta Public Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 459 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
15 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.1% in Atlanta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,559/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 1676% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H993TG5B1KN9Q8
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29