2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,400 sqft ·
Built 2021
· Manufactured
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,086/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$209
Tax + insurance
−$66
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$228
Net cashflow
$582/mo
Annual
$6,983/yr
Cap rate
23.79%
Cash-on-cash
62.50%
DSCR
3.78
1% rule
2.72%
Cash to close
$11,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $582 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($276 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (8.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,056 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime D-.
Oakwood CUSD 76 (rural): math 12% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #495 of 620 in IL (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Vermilion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Vermilion County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (8.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H9GGYMDFZ09SVH
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29