2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,339 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,696/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$195
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$356
Net cashflow
$647/mo
Annual
$7,768/yr
Cap rate
14.48%
Cash-on-cash
29.23%
DSCR
2.30
1% rule
1.79%
Cash to close
$26,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $647 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $93k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#36 in KY, #326 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
Ludlow Independent (suburban): math 26% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #105 of 165 in KY (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 699 units permitted in Kenton County in 2024 (287 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kenton County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $75k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 2.8% in Ludlow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H9NX68CSB9R7X1
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29