1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
990 sqft ·
Built 2000
· Condo
· Active
· 49 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,374/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,087
Tax + insurance
−$721
HOA
−$100
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$919
Net cashflow
$548/mo
Annual
$6,577/yr
Cap rate
7.95%
Cash-on-cash
5.90%
DSCR
1.26
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$111,440
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $398k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $548 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $398k).
It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($386k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $386k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#20 in FL, #434 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 1870 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
22 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 10956% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $111k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 0.8% in Sunny Isles Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,374/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29