3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,541 sqft ·
Built 1988
· Townhouse
· Under Contract
· 53 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,653/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,777
Tax + insurance
−$374
HOA
−$35
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$557
Net cashflow
$-90/mo
Annual
$-1,075/yr
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.13%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$94,892
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $339k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-90 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $323k (4.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $265k (21.7% below list).
It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($329k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $265k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#38 in VA, #880 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
Va Beach City Public School District (urban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #10 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Ocean Lakes Elementary (math 68% / reading 76%, grade A-, #273 of 1,108 statewide, top 27%, 571 students, 31% FRL); Corporate Landing Middle (math 66% / reading 77%, grade A, #72 of 342 statewide, top 22%, 1,054 students, 46% FRL); Ocean Lakes High (math 73% / reading 89%, grade A, #52 of 319 statewide, top 17%, 1,855 students, 29% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 666 units permitted in Virginia Beach city in 2024 (347 in 5+ unit buildings).
Virginia Beach County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $185k; list at $339k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.5% in Virginia Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($103k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HBQ4M39Q9SXDD9
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29