3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Manufactured
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,516/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$208
HOA
−$600
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$528
Net cashflow
$524/mo
Annual
$6,289/yr
Cap rate
11.32%
Cash-on-cash
17.97%
DSCR
1.80
1% rule
2.01%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#90 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Groton School District (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #96 of 153 in CT (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Northeast Academy Magnet School (math 42% / reading 62%, grade C-, #213 of 553 statewide, top 41%, 391 students, 27% FRL); Groton Middle School (math 28% / reading 47%, grade F, #112 of 175 statewide, top 66%, 907 students, 47% FRL); Robert E. Fitch High School (math 37% / reading 61%, grade D, #90 of 194 statewide, top 46%, 1,005 students, 43% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 4.0% in Groton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HC97J8EA4YB1BX
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29