4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,640 sqft ·
Built 1890
· Other
· Active
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,079/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,023
Tax + insurance
−$648
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$437
Net cashflow
$-28/mo
Annual
$-335/yr
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.61%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$54,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-335/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $190k (2.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $190k (2.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#438 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
Vestal Central School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #168 of 590 in NY (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Clayton Avenue Elementary School (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C+, #842 of 2,108 statewide, top 43%, 248 students, 49% FRL); Vestal Middle School (math 45% / reading 64%, grade B-, #214 of 729 statewide, top 31%, 781 students, 31% FRL); Vestal Senior High School (math 100%, 1,000 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools average 35% FRL vs 17% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
9 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $65k; list at $195k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29