4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,100 sqft ·
Built 1935
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 153 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,380/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$408
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$500
Net cashflow
$187/mo
Annual
$2,248/yr
Cap rate
7.21%
Cash-on-cash
3.28%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (2.8% below list).
It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $216k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#351 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
Wicomico County Public Schools (urban): math 16% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #19 of 24 in MD (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Wicomico County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wicomico County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
9 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $68k; list at $245k implies a 259% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.8% in Salisbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29